Saturday, July 18, 2015

"Moving Toward Facts and Empirical Evidence"



Cites from SMART Office Research Reports
Incidence and Prevalence of Sexual Offending
by Jane Wiseman
Etiology of Adult Sexual Offending
by Susan Faupel, M.S.W.
Adult Sex Offender Typologies
by Dominique A. Simons
Internet-Facilitated Sexual Offending
by Michael Seto, Ph.D.
Adult Sex Offender Recidivism
byRoger Przybylski
Sex Offender Risk Assessment
by Kevin Baldwin, Ph.D.
Effectiveness of Treatment for Adult Sex Offenders
by Roger Przybylski
Sex Offender Management Strategies
by Christopher Lobanov-Rostovsky


Evidence Based: "Despite the intuitive value of using science to guide decision making, laws and policies designed to combat sexual offending are often introduced or enacted in the absence of empirical support. However, there is little question that both public safety and the efficient use of public resources would be enhanced if sex offender management strategies were based on evidence of effectiveness rather than other factors." Source: Adult Sex Offender Typologies
Additional notes or comments

Recidivism: "As part of their study, (Recidivism of Sex Offenders Released from Prison in 1994) Langan, Schmitt, and Durose (2003) conducted a comparative analysis of recidivism among sex offenders and non-sex offenders. Findings were based on the 3-year postrelease offending of 9,691 sex offenders and 262,420 non-sex offenders released from prison in 1994. The analysis revealed that once released, the sex offenders had a lower overall rearrest rate than non-sex offenders (43 percent compared to 68 percent), but their sex crime rearrest rate was four times higher than the rate for non-sex offenders (5.3 percent compared to 1.3 percent). Similar patterns are consistently found in other studies that compare sex offender and non-sex offender recidivism (see, e.g., Sample & Bray, 2003; Hanson, Scott, & Steffy, 1995)." Source: Recidivism Rates: All Sex Offenders
Note: Some times percentages alone do not tell the real story:
5.3% -v- 1.3% lets translate % to actual numbers 5.3% = 517 sex offenses (victims) and 1.3% = 3,328 sex offenses (victims) all occurring over the same 3-year period. Non sex offenders being more dangerous to the community than are former sex offenders. And, this evidence shows that lawmakers have known this since at least 2003, and have done ZERO about it. Residency laws should govern ALL NON SOs on parole/probation/supervised release because they are more dangerous to the community than former registered citizens.